No Brexit deal and a hard border by Jan 2019

Until Nov 2017 it did indeed look like the kind of country a gay half-Indian man with no experience could run and indeed today it was delegated to a 16-year-old South African girl, in Ireland only 3 years. (I could not have made that up). . Universally pitied for its history as a colony; forgiven its tax haven status; no national territory; “autonomous” state institutions like universities and museums that did not require statutory oversight; a party political system so incestuous that the putative opposition party is in a “supply and confidence” arrangement; and so on.

Then Leo V decided to take on the Brits and is now utterly in over his head. He does not get it; the very point of Johnson Politik is NOT to have a deal on the Irish border by the time phase 2 is about to start. When the Barnier negotiations restart – or rather fail to restart -  Johnson can then collapse the scrum shouting about these frogs and Krauts, with their disgraceful WW2 history, trying to tell the UK what to do with their own land. That is a suitably jingoistic theme for a leadership heave and nasty, brutish and short snap election campaign.

Because Ireland has no territory, Johnson can theoretically put the new customs post anywhere. He will put them where they were before, whatever the DUP say. They in turn will realize that, while they were indeed initially brought to Ireland to be a nuisance, even their nuisance value has now expired.

So what is the antidote to Boris? In Adams’ farewell speech, he pointed out that Sinn Fein get 500k votes all over the island – roughly equal to the tweedle parties in Dublin. While they seem to have definitively said goodbye to the militarists of the Adams generation – and Martin Ferris may have been pushed – the Good Friday deal (GFA) no longer works for them.

For the Brits, the Good Friday deal was arguably  a classical forced Anglo-Saxon unconditional surrender; surrendering of territory and arms in exchange for POW’s.  They made it clear at the first crisis in the assembly that the viewed the GFA as entailing binding commitments only for Ireland. Now that the stakes are so high with the EU, the charade can be dropped. In this narrative, Sinn Fein signed on for it in bad faith, only to get the POW’s home, and are now unwilling to reinstate the institutions as nobody is going to rejail Joe O’Connell et al.

Is there an alternative to a forced snap election in Ireland next year as the humiliations pile on? Probably not, and Sinn Fein will be in government afterward, making it desirable to – yes!  - reinstate Stormont. As individuals, what can we do? Here is gets interesting.

The Republican narrative – to which the IRA, if not Sinn Fein still subscribe – is that both political entities on the island of Ireland are illegitimate, the progeny of the abortive 2^nd Dáil.  It is a fact that Ireland is a deeply criminal state, a tax haven for scum, with no territory. Its resources have been sold off cheaply  to the point that the web contains more of value to Irish culture, held in the public domain, than the state. So get the Fenian flag, announce your own “parallel Ireland” on property you own, with a commitment to making it part of a new Republic. Then let the chips fall where they may.

PS The document is anodyne. What May said is what matters ie that by the phrases "customs union" and "single market" in the document she feels free to mean UK or EU "customs union" and "single market" as she wishes.

The Queen of Tarts etc; words mean what she wants. And that's what we get for putting a dyslexic and Indian up against the Brits. Bertie vs Blair in the GFA resulted in us having no national territory and, as we found, no country